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Overall fortune trends worse across the story — distinct from Tragedy plot type in Story patterns.
A tragedy fortune curve tracks hope or safety trending worse over the full story — the emotional weather, not the plot-type label. Vonnegut-style shapes name these patterns for planning.
A book can use a tragedy curve while following a quest or rebirth plot type in another axis. Tags serve different questions.
Why it matters
Fortune curves track hope over time — separate from plot-pattern tags.
Common pitfalls
Readers feel tragedy (fortune curve) when stakes tighten after the ally refuses to help.